On mid-term trading and investment...
Disclaimer: The ideas expressed in this blog should not be construed as an enticement to buy or sell securities.
Showing posts with label Home. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Home. Show all posts
Sunday 3 November 2013
Sunday 20 October 2013
Bought Gold Fields Ltd (GFI) at US$4.49
Serenity stocks has filtered out this stock based on Graham enterprising criteria. Ray Dalio has bought it at 1Q and 2Q and currently losing money. So, I have effectively bought cheaper than him. From Serenity stocks:
Assets / Liabilities = 0.89
Assets / Debt = 0.92
Assets / Liabilities = 0.89
Assets / Debt = 0.92
Wednesday 9 October 2013
Will GlobalInv fall to $0.145 again?
It is said that this guy is a ten-percenter at $0.145. Its figures are:
PE (4.5) < 5-year low (6.2)
P/B = 0.6
net profit margin = 80%
ROE = 14%
I am looking to buy at about $0.145.
Where is the bottom for JC Penney?
This is a S&P 500 company that is bleeding like hell with:
market cap = 1.7B
P/B = 0.7
EV/EBITDA = -4.9
profit margin = -13%
ROE = -53%
current ratio = 1.4
I am interested to see the lowest it can reach.
Will ANF fall to its bottom?
This guy, Abercrombie and Fitch Co Class A, is a S&P 500 company with:
market cap = 2.6B
PE = 11.2
P/B = 1.5
EV/EBITDA = 4
profit margin 5.6%
ROE = 14.5%
current ratio = 2.1
dividend = 2.3%
There is nothing wrong with this company. I am targeting to buy at under US$31.
Is this the lowest for Alcoa?
This is the world's third largest aluminium company and a S&P 500 company with:
market cap = 8.7B
PE = 68 (high due to low demand and falling aluminium prices)
P/B = 0.7
EV/EBITDA = 7.1
profit margin = 0.6%
ROE = 0.7%
current ratio = 1.1
dividend = 1.5%
The industry has been seeing shrinking demand and falling aluminium prices. As a result, earning has also been shrinking. As the stock price falls accordingly, it is supported at a base price. That is why, the PE is high at 68. I will be targeting to buy below US$8.
Thursday 3 October 2013
Will Yeo HS's support at $2.50 be broken?
From Yahoo:
PE = 45
P/B = 2
EV/EBITDA = 35
profit margin = 6.4%
ROE = 5%
current ratio = 3
From Reuters:
PE (26) > 5-year high (23)
yield ~ 0%
profit margin = 11%
ROE = 8%
PE = 45
P/B = 2
EV/EBITDA = 35
profit margin = 6.4%
ROE = 5%
current ratio = 3
From Reuters:
PE (26) > 5-year high (23)
yield ~ 0%
profit margin = 11%
ROE = 8%
SingPost about to fall?
This guy is in a flag formation. From Reuters:
PE (20.9) > 5-year high (19.4)
P/B = 3.6 (too high)
yield ~ 5%
current ratio = 1.5
profit margin = 19%
ROE = 21%
This guy is expected to grow in sales and earning.
SuperGroup uptrend broken?
From Yahoo:
PE = 22.6 (too high)
P/B = 5.4 (too high)
EV/EBITDA = 21 (too high)
profit margin = 18%
ROE = 25%
current ratio = 3
debt/equity = 0.1 (almost no debt)
yield = 1.7%
From Reuters:
PE (23.2) > 5-year high (22.9)
This guy needs to revert to mean for the time being.
PE = 22.6 (too high)
P/B = 5.4 (too high)
EV/EBITDA = 21 (too high)
profit margin = 18%
ROE = 25%
current ratio = 3
debt/equity = 0.1 (almost no debt)
yield = 1.7%
From Reuters:
PE (23.2) > 5-year high (22.9)
This guy needs to revert to mean for the time being.
Will Shanda shoot from here?
This guy has a firm support at $3.84 and an even firmer support at $2.70. The stochastic oscillator has already shown the divergence but there is a stochastic bear yet to overcome. From Yahoo:
PE = 6.2 (5-year low is 4.7 from Reuters)
PEG = 0.6 (Will be growing)
P/B = 1.4
profit margin = 25%
ROE = 24%
current ratio = 2.6
This guy looks good to me in all aspects.
End of uptrend for Biosensors?
Is Biosensors ending its short uptrend with a double tops? Its stochastic oscillator is already showing divergence. Data from Yahoo:
PE = 17.5
EV/EBITDA = 11.1 (slightly too high)
P/B = 1.3
profit margin = 29%
ROE = 7.9%
current ratio = 11.2
From Reuters:
5-year low (5) < PE (14) < 5-year high (24)
Sales and income shrinking may be the reason for its drop. This company is expected to grow. Current PE is at about 5-year average.
IndoAgri reversing?
Is this guy at the point of reversing? From Reuters:
PE = 18 (still average 5-year average)
P/B = 0.8
current ratio = 1.4
profit margin = 7.5
ROE = 4.3%
Sales and earning are expected to grow next year.
Is CapitaRChina ready to go?
Is the clear black support line valid? From Yahoo:
PE = 6.2
P/B = 0.9
Profit margin = 103% (Wow!)
ROE = 16%
Current ratio = 3.6
Earning is expected to grow. This guy is pretty decent. I don't see much room for it to go down further.
Clear resistance line in HKLand US$?
I see a clear slanting resistance in HKLand US$. Generally, the whole property sector is going down?
Why Jardine C&C, JMH 400US$, JSH 500US$ dropping so much?
Why are the above 3 dropping more than STI? Are these 3 mostly touched by institutions? Is the elaborate dropping of these 3 signs that smart money are moving out of the market in advance of the others?
Wednesday 2 October 2013
Will Fortune REIT break HK$6.00?
This guy is on a downtrend. Will the bear be stopped at $6.00? 200d MA support has turned into a resistance. From Yahoo:
PE = 3.2
P/B = 0.6
profit margin = 289% (What?)
ROE = 22%
current = 0.37 (over-leveraged)
If the property bubble bursts in HK, the guy may die. I bet the support will be broken soon.
OKP shows a very strong base at $0.38
Market broke the $0.38 support before but only for a short while. From Yahoo:
PE = 12
P/B = 1.3
profit margin = 7.9%
ROE = 10.4%
Current ratio = 2.6
Figures from Reuters roughly the same.
Will the $0.71 support be broken for Hi-P?
If the $0.71 support is broken, the next support will be $0.65. It will be hard to imagine that it will reach its ultimate support of $0.45. From Yahoo:
PE = 17 (Expecting more earning next year)
P/B = 1
profit margin = 3%
ROE = 6.2%
current ratio = 1.5
The above figures are supported by Reuters.
Is HL Asia looking for the base?
This guy looks like looking for its base. Will it be $1.40 or $1.30? Looking at Yahoo data, P/B is 0.6, EV/EBITDA is 1.46, profit margin is -0.7%, ROE is 4.4%, current ratio is 1.4 and cash flow is negative. From Reuters, the figures are almost the same.
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